Archive for September 2013
Subtitled: Being a dick to children.
Legal Insurrection: All your front yards are belong to school zero-tolerance policies by William A. Jacobson
NRO: Schools Are Not Parents by Charles C. W. Cooke
Quotes from the 911 call made by a neighbor:
“He is pointing the gun, and it looks like there’s a target in a tree in his front yard,” she told the dispatcher. “This is not a real one, but it makes people uncomfortable. I know that it makes me [uncomfortable], as a mom, to see a boy pointing a gun.”
Yes, you read that right. She called 911 over a boy pointing something she knew was not a gun, at a tree, in his own yard.
Quote from the Larkspur Middle School principle:
This was a dangerous situation that involved the intervention of law enforcement, the Office of Safety and Loss Control and our school administration.
Translation: everyone massively overreacted so we are going to retroactively brand them as dangers to society to cover our backsides.
Via Gunfreezone: Underpants Gnomes Statistics & Research.
Methods. We conducted a negative binomial regression analysis of panel data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s Web-Based Injury Statistics Query and Reporting Systems database on gun ownership and firearm homicide rates across all 50 states during 1981 to 2010. We determined fixed effects for year, accounted for clustering within states with generalized estimating equations, and controlled for potential state-level confounders.
Taken literally, this would indicate that the CDC Web-based Injury Statistics Query and Reporting System (WISQARS) had data on gun ownership. I examined both the Fatal Injury Data system there and National Violent Death Reporting System and no data is provided on gun ownership at all.
Now, if we assume that Miguel is correct, and they examining the databases of registered firearms possessed by the individual states (those that actually exist) then all they actually demonstrated is a correlation between “firearm homicide rates” and registration of firearms.
However, they mention that they also use a proxy for levels of household firearm ownership: the percentage of suicides committed with a firearm. The problem here is that an assumption is made that the percent of gun owners who commit suicide is a constant no mater what state they are in despite it being known that suicide rates between the states vary wildly (Alaska’s is double Ohio’s for example). They also don’t say if they assume that percentage of suicides is the exact percentage of households with guns or modify it somehow to make it useful to compare to data “measured directly”. The proxy is of dubious value.
This study isn’t in the current issue of the American Journal of Public Health so I will have to wait until it actually sees print to find out what they actually did.
There is also the usual issue that they were only concerned with “the firearm homicide rate” and not “the homicide rate”. Being 1% less likely to die by gun but 1% more likely to die overall (for example) is not a good trade. Gun control advocates not only try to ignore externalities, they try to hide them from everyone else so they don’t realize they are making a fool’s bargain.
“There’s no reason for Mayors Against Illegal Guns to be in Ohio,” said Linda Walker of the Buckeye Firearms Foundation. “Ohioans stand up for our constitutional rights and that’s the way it’s going to be.”
“People are fired up, people are concerned,” said Walker. “It’s overwhelming this many people show up on a Friday afternoon because our constitutional rights are that important.”
I am so mad at myself for missing this, even though I was at work when this was going on. A big “thank you” to everyone who did attend.